The Impossible Math of the Federal Reserve

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Yesterday the Federal Reserve officially signaled the beginning of its balance sheet run-off. At this point, that’s old news. But, today the Fed released the Z.1 Flow of Funds, which adds to the intrigue of the balance sheet run-off. Why? Instead of getting wrapped up in fancy terms like quantitative easing and large-scale asset purchases, […]

Looser Financial Conditions Should Support Economic Growth and Stocks in the Second Half

Proxy metrics for financial conditions from the US dollar, to interest rates to corporate bond spreads have been loosening since June and suggest continued moderate economic growth in the second half of 2017 and a firm equity market. In this post we’ll briefly highlight how these measures of financial conditions point to a firmer manufacturing […]

Coal is Dead and Other Thoughts on Fossil Fuels from Peter Zeihan

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With energy setting records as the worst performing sector year-to-date, we were curious about Geopolitical Strategist Peter Zeihan’s thoughts on fossil fuels in the context of the United States’ continued retreat from the global theater. We recently caught up with Peter to ask his opinion. Below are excerpts from that conversation. KLC: What are your […]

Quarterly Strategy Update: Structural Rotation

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This quarter, we look at two important structural changes that appear to be underway: a normalization in US and European monetary policy and a normalization in crude oil inventories. We expect these two trends to have important ramifications for equity sector leadership trends. In addition, we expect the growth-driven equity leadership that has prevailed for the last […]