The Low Level of the VIX Isn’t a Mystery

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The drop in the VIX to ultra-low levels in 2017 has been a point of consternation for market participants and largely misunderstood. Some market participants view the low level of the VIX as an indication of excessively positive sentiment among investors and thus a contrary indicator for the general direction of stock prices. But, the […]

Bitcoin: What It Is And What It Isn’t

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Bitcoin has garnered much mainstream media coverage in recent months which is the natural reaction to its meteoric ten-fold rise this year. The digital currency’s rise to about $11,000 today was met with awe, and then it quickly fell by 20% in a matter of hours, as has been widely reported. Still, bitcoin is 37% […]

Quarterly Strategy Update: Dynamic Undercurrents

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Since the start of this year, the US Treasury market is signaling a scenario of rising growth expectations and falling inflation expectations, as reflected by the various components that comprise interest rates. In this quarter’s strategy update, Portfolio Manager Steven Vannelli, CFA, explores the following: Monetary policy: We examine the demographic shifts causing people to spend […]

Threats for Small Caps

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With some exceptions, smaller-cap stocks in the US tend to pay higher taxes than their larger-cap peers. As such, speculation that corporate tax rates may be cut has stoked the performance of US small caps recently. In addition to the concern that tax reform and/or tax cuts may get stalled, there are three other factors […]

The Fundamental Case for Miners

Miners of all sorts have been put in the penalty box in recent years for massively over-investing from 2008-2013 on the thought that China’s infrastructure investment boom, and the commensurate demand for raw materials, would last forever. The over-investment and excess supply drove commodity prices lower and with it the performance of miners. For example, […]